Nikolai Barsukov vs Yannik Kelm Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Analysis of second serve performance indicates Kelm has recently won 45.41% of points, slightly ahead of Barsukov at 43.81%.
• What about return games? Kelm excels here, capturing 54.8% of opponents' second serve points, compared to Barsukov's 50.51%.
• Assessing first serve returns, Kelm again leads with 34.64% against Barsukov's 29.54%, reflecting a potential edge here.
• Under pressure, Barsukov performs better, saving 52.04% of breakpoints, while Kelm saves 46.72%.
• In the last year, Barsukov won only 30.77% of matches, whereas Kelm boasts a 59.18% match-win rate, offering a clear advantage.
• Looking at surface performance, Kelm prefers Indoor hard courts with a 63% win rate, while Barsukov struggles on Hard courts with only 20% wins.
• Both players frequently compete in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments, but Kelm's win percentage is notably higher at 59.18% compared to Barsukov's 30.77%.
• Facing tougher competition, Kelm has an average opponent rank of 207.49, whereas Barsukov plays lower-ranked players with an average rank of 458.23.
• In deciding sets, Barsukov narrowly edges out with a win percentage of 60% compared to Kelm's 55%.
• On converting breakpoints, Kelm is again more adept, converting 40.59% compared to Barsukov's 33.8%.

Editorial Prediction (July 29, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match presents a fascinating dynamic between two players with varying strengths. Despite Barsukov's resilience in saving breakpoints and edging out in deciding set scenarios, Kelm displays superior performance in several critical areas.

Kelm's ability to capture return points, particularly on second serves, combined with a stronger conversion rate of breakpoints, suggests an advantage in pivotal moments of the match. Furthermore, Kelm's higher match-win percentage over the past year against stronger competitors adds to their favored status.

While Barsukov has notable strengths under pressure, the overall comparative statistics point towards Kelm having the upper hand. With these factors in mind, Kelm is the likely winner of the upcoming tennis match.